Monday, May 11, 2009

It's All Good - Then There's the NBA

This’ll be one of those rambling, all-over-the-place pieces about nothing, a real George Costanza-type nothing piece, if not for content, then for structure, as I really have a lot of impressions, mostly good ones, of baseball and the Mets, and Joba’s fine effort, and in pro basketball, that crazy last-second shot by the Big Baby. Even local pro football seems to be looking good, what with Hakeem Nicks and Mark Sanchez and the proverbial host of others.

Of course, that’s usually when everything starts going to hell, just when you think thing’s are looking good, the classical overemphasis on recent form rather than the hard facts of the overall past record. And the things I’m happy about now could turn in a day. In fact they probably will.

So let’s examine that thought for a moment. The Mets have won seven in a row, mostly with good starting pitching, something everybody in Mets-land was really worried about just two short weeks ago. So, the question then becomes “will the starters continue to perform well?”

Johan Santana, that ace of aces, might be the least likely to continue his incredibly good string this year. He’s given up 6 runs in 39 2/3 innings. The most runs he’s surrendered in one single game is 2. He lost that one and struck out 13. Otherwise, he’s been lights-out all the time and he’s just 4-1 overall with a 0.91 ERA.

But it’s just the law of averages that rears its ugly head. Santana did win 7 in a row last year, though, even with all those saves lost by the relief corps. So who knows? His current performance isn’t really that removed from what he’s done his entire career.

John Maine started this whole thing on May 4th against the Braves at Atlanta, giving up 3 runs in 6 innings. Then he pitched an even better one vs. Pittsburgh on May 9th, allowing just 1 run. Maine has won 3 starts in a row but he’s not averse to winning streaks, having won 4 in a row early last year and an amazing 7 in a row to open up 2007. So Mr. Maine could conceivably just keep going strong.

The other starter to win two during the streak is good ol’ Livan Hernandez. He beat Atlanta on the 5th of May and Pittsburgh yesterday, surrendering 3 totals runs in 12 1/3 innings overall. The other starters, Pelfrey and Niese, won just one during the streak but Pelfrey did impressively win against the World Champion Phillies while Niese’s win came against the lowly Pirates. (Sorry, Pittsburgh fans).

Nay-sayers will point to the quality of the opposition and the fact that the relief hasn’t really been that good over the same period. My quick analysis shows they gave up 8 runs in 18 2/3 innings. That’s not terrible, I guess, but it’s not that good either.

In another sense though, it’s great, as the victims of the scoring have been the more experienced pitchers, Putz and K-Rod, Feliciano and Green. The rookie Parnell gave us 4 scoreless innings while the very old rookie, Takahashi, gave us 3 scoreless.

Once again, nay-sayers will point to the fact that the above stats mean the “ace” relievers gave up the 8 runs in about 12 innings, an ERA of about 6. But I’m not into nay-saying today, and none of them lost the game, which is what this is all about after all.

The schedule is interesting as our heroes have to face the Braves again for three so soon after having had success against them in Atlanta. So the Braves will be looking for payback. Then it’s off to San Francisco for four and Los Angeles for 3, a key road trip against two teams with really good pitching and one that has batters to match.

And, if the Mets batters haven’t been discouraged after that trip, they then continue on to Boston for three. As it would be futile to determine the Boston starters that far in advance, let’s just say that the Red Sox have the best pitching in both leagues.

So it’s imperative that the Mets beat the teams they’re supposed to beat, the Braves and the Giants, so they can be as upbeat as possible against the cream, the Dodgers and the Red Sox. Of course, that’s why they play the games and it should be a lot of good baseball.

Joba’s given up 7 runs in the first innings of his last two games and Yankee fans will have to hope it’s an aberration. Time will tell but I think it’s the latter, his record doesn’t really indicate any big troubles in his first inning of work.

Obviously, if he could come in as a reliever and blow everybody away, every relief appearance basically a first inning stint, he’s quite capable of pitching well in the first inning of a start. He just needs to make himself feel the heat. A good pitching coach might point out the significance of getting off to a good start.

In other baseball news, Evan Longoria has 44 rbi’s already, an insane number in 32 games, basically a fifth of a season, and that projects out to five times 44 or 220 ribbies for the season. As the Scooter would’ve commented, “Holy Cow.”

Pro basketball continues to leave me cold. Despite the wondrous Bulls-Celtics series and the Celts’ continuing intrigue against a very tough Orlando, I find the games impossible to watch. The commercials kill the game, no continuity whatsoever is allowed for the game itself. It’s just a platform for commercials.

It would help if I thought the games were on the level. But I’m just convinced these playoffs are just foreplay for the big Lebron-Kobe matchup. Fouls continue to be called totally arbitrarily, and in at least one instance, the absence of an obvious call cost the Mavericks what could have been a big, big game.

The NBA admitted the error. Thanks, really!

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