Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Throwing It In....

How important is it really? With Willie, without Willie, it's just a game. This fact was driven home to me this morning as I read about a service held for the Bayonne, NJ war dead, including the brother of a friend of mine from high school. It's easy to forget sometimes, even on Memorial Day.

Things would probably be a lot better at Shea, though, if the Mets would just play the game like a game. Yesterday, I watched helplessly as Reyes booted a hard bouncer and Beltran made an ill-conceived dive at a soft liner to centerfield. Result – a few more unearned runs for the Marlins.

If things were allowed to settle down somewhat, if the Mets had made a managerial change last night, the pressure would have been relieved and maybe Reyes makes that stop; maybe Beltran takes that liner on a hop, thus minimizing the damage.

However, the big news last night was that Willie Randolph would keep his job as manager. Although I think it's probably a mistake, if just for the distraction it's causing this team, I've made a conscious decision not to live and die with the Mets anymore, at least not for the foreseeable future. If the Wilpons don't care what their fans think, why should I care about them, or their team?

Keeping Willie at this point really makes no sense though. The Florida Marlins are leading the NL East with a 30-20 record, which puts them on a pace to go 97-65 for the season. The Mets, currently at 23-26, would have to go 74-39 for the rest of the season in order to tie the Marlins That means they'll have to win 2 out of 3 games for the rest of the season in order to take the division. Very unlikely.

Their wildcard chances aren't that much better. The Cubs and Cards are now at 30-21 and 30-22 respectively. The Diamondbacks are also 30-21. So it still comes down to winning two out of every three for the rest of the season. For a team that can't even achieve a .500 record past the season's quarter point, I'm afraid that's almost impossible.

It wouldn't necessarily have been inconceivable if they had changed the team chemistry somewhat. But they missed their chance now. The Wilpons, secure in their new stadium deal and having Willie under contract for another year, decided just to let the season go. Why send good money after bad?

The Wilpons must've missed all the bad fielding, the horrible base-running, the players playing tight as bowstrings. Or they've already decided the real fault has been in the player selection, and that Omar will eventually be replaced anyway. And, although they might be correct in that assessment, I think it was premature. A managerial change would have given this team a chance.

After all, a not too different team came very close in 2006 to winning it all. It had the same ingredients really, Wright, Reyes, Beltran, Delgado. Of course, LoDuca was the catcher and Valentin was the second baseman, and Shawn Green manned one of the outfield positions, and the pitching was different. Willie was the manager, of course, and well, I guess it really doesn’t take that much tweaking to screw things up.

The tweaks haven’t worked. That’s for sure. Castillo has been bad to disastrous. Delgado’s a couple of years older, but then so are Reyes and Wright, which, in their cases, should have been a very good thing.

The lineup was a little different but not much. Beltran used to bat third with Delgado at cleanup and Wright batting fifth. Wright’s ascendancy and Delgado’s slide dictated a change, but that shouldn’t have made all that much difference either.

Interestingly enough, though, Tom Glavine was 15-7 in 2006. Steve Trachsel was 15-8. Those were the two big guns and they’re not here anymore. El Duque was 9-7, Pedro Martinez was 9-8 and John Maine was just 6-5. Oliver Perez had just come over from the Pirates and finished 1-3. Although Brian Bannister never got much of a chance, he’s a nice pitcher now for Kansas City. And then there was Victor Zambrano, who was traded for potential ace Scott Kazmir.

It’s obvious that this team could have really used Pedro and El Duque this year, from the start. Maine hasn’t lived up to his potential. And, gee whiz, imagine if we had Bannister and Kazmir. Then it would have been Santana, Kazmir, Bannister, Maine and Perez, even without mentioning Pedro or El Duque.

It should also be noted that Moises Alou had nothing to do with 2006. And, in retrospect, he has had almost nothing to do with 2008 either. There were some other perhaps minor ingredients to that 2006 team that the 2008 version may be missing, players such as Cliff Floyd and Julio Franco. And Kaz Matsui won a pennant with the Rockies after the Mets let him go.

So, except for Johan Santana, a lot of the moves have been pretty bad, to say the least. Probably the biggest difference to team chemistry has been the Valentin injury and the hobbled Castillo as a replacement. Valentin, playing in just about 2/3 of a year, with 387 at bats, had 62 rbi’s and 56 runs scored. Castillo thus far has just 13 rbi’s and 22 runs scored, and he has been a liability in the field.

They say a team has to be strong up the middle, and the Mets have Castillo at the keystone and Reyes playing erratically. They say pitching and defense wins pennants and World Series and the Mets have only three starters pitching creditably, Santana, Maine and Perez. The bullpen has been very bad at times, with Heilman the biggest disappointment. The pitching is ranked 14th overall, the defense is ranked just 18th overall.

Championship performance? Certainly not. Championship talent? Probably not. We may never know. And the players still don’t know if they have a manager for the season.

No comments: